Alex Jacobson 3.0

June 30, 2004

Online Land Registry

Filed under: Social Markets — admin @ 6:22 pm

Ever since I read about Hernando De Soto’s work years ago, I’ve been saying that the a major remedy for third world economic problems would be online land registries. Now, BusinessWeek reoprts that its happenning in India! Photon Courier notes

Why is this a big deal? you may ask. Previously, the deeds were controlled by “powerful village accountants.” They typically charged large fees to the poor farmers who needed copies of their deeds–and a farmer might need such copies 2 or 3 times a year when asking for loans (to buy fertilizer, for instance). And sometimes accountants would collude with upper-caste landlords to steal the land by altering the deeds.

In the state of Karnataka, 20 million deeds have been digitized over the past 5 years, and 200 kiosks have been deployed across the state. It now costs the equivalent of 30 cents to get a copy of one’s records–the previous fees from the local accountants were in the range of $2.00 to $20.00.

I would have implemented India’s system differently, but YAY anyway.

June 28, 2004

If you want to stop more terrorism, kill more terrorists

Filed under: War Politics — admin @ 4:28 pm

Charles Krauthammer details Israel’s victory over the Intifada

While no one was looking, something historic happened in the Middle East. The Palestinian intifada is over, and the Palestinians have lost.
[...]
The end of the intifada does not mean the end of terrorism. There was terrorism before the intifada and there will be terrorism to come. What has happened, however, is an end to systematic, regular, debilitating, unstoppable terror — terror as a reliable weapon. At the height of the intifada, there were nine suicide attacks in Israel killing 85 Israelis in just one month (March 2002). In the past three months there have been none.
[...]
Israel targeted terrorist leaders — attacks so hypocritically denounced by Westerners who, at the same time, cheer the hunt for, and demand the head of, Osama bin Laden. The top echelon of Hamas and other terrorist groups has been either arrested, killed or driven underground. The others are now so afraid of Israeli precision and intelligence — the last Hamas operative to be killed by missile was riding a motorcycle — that they are forced to devote much of their time and energy to self-protection and concealment.

He also thinks the fence was important. I think the apparent success of the fence is more an artifact of attacking the terrorists. Hopefully, the US will continue to follow suit. Do Kerry supporters out there believe he will or that, instead, he would go more for a defensive law enforcement model?

Hermann Goering vs Franklin Delano Roosevelt

Filed under: War Politics — admin @ 11:58 am

Duing the run up to the war in Iraq, various anti-war and pacifists folks kept quoting Hermann Goering’s comment at the Nuremberg trials about going to war:

“Of course the people don’t want war. But after all, it’s the leaders of the country who determine the policy, and it’s always a simple matter to drag the people along whether it’s a democracy, a fascist dictatorship, or a parliament, or a communist dictatorship. Voice or no voice, the people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders. That is easy. All you have to do is tell them they are being attacked, and denounce the pacifists for lack of patriotism, and exposing the country to greater danger.”

Today Andrew Sullivan provided this great riposte from Franklin Delano Roosevelt, May 26 1940

But there is an added technique for weakening a nation at its very roots … The method is simple. It is first, a dissemination of discord. A group – not too large – a group that may be sectional or racial or political – is encouraged to exploit its prejudices through false slogans and emotional appeals. The aim of those who deliberately egg on these groups is to create confusion of counsel, public indecision, political paralysis and, eventually, a state of panic. Sound national policies come to be viewed with a new and unreasoning skepticism … As a result of these techniques, armament programs may be dangerously delayed. Singleness of national purpose may be undermined. . . . The unity of the state can be so sapped that its strength is destroyed. All this is no idle dream. It has happened time after time, in nation after nation, during the last two years.

Sullivan connects this quotation with Michael Moore. I would say it applies equally well to much of the liberal media establishment.

In any case, the contrast between the quotations represents well the value and danger of democracy and freedom of the press. Goering assumes the leaders control of the media so all they have to do is tell people things. In contrast, here the leaders are held to a higher standard where leaders must show the people they are in danger in the face of a free press that may be actively hostile to the leadership and its agenda and that does not have the same level of security responsibilities as that leadership. The question FDR opens is whether the questioning of leadership claims by the free press can become pathological enough to cause major damage. I would like to believe that the check on the free press comes from an intelligent and educated citizenry, but my observations of the Ivy League educated readership of the NYTimes, the Washington Post, etc. leaves me dubious.

How do we balance the dangers of overreaching by dictatorship against the dangers of pacifist stupor induced by a free press?

June 27, 2004

Saddam sought uranium from Niger

Filed under: Social Markets — admin @ 7:54 pm

Via Belgravia Dispatch, perhaps the Finanial Times would be the honest liberal alternative to the NYTimes.

Intelligence officers learned between 1999 and 2001 that uranium smugglers planned to sell illicitly mined Nigerien uranium ore, or refined ore called yellow cake, to Iran, Libya, China, North Korea and Iraq.

These claims support the assertion made in the British government dossier on Iraq’s weapons of mass destruction programme in September 2002 that Iraq had sought to buy uranium from an African country, confirmed later as Niger. George W. Bush, US president, referred to the issue in his State of the Union address in January 2003.

Is there a good alternative to the NYTimes?

Filed under: Social Markets — admin @ 5:59 pm

Andrew McCarthy and Captain Edi do a good job of dissecting the NYTimes recent effort to mislead its readers into believing that there were no connections between Saddam and Al Queada, when in fact it knew that they had a cooperative relationship.

Robert and others argue that this administration faces a credibility problem. Fault for this credibility problem lies at the feet of the major media like the NYTimes that keep misreporting both what the Administration has said and the facts on the ground that may corroborate Administration conclusions.

In describing Michael Moore’s newest movie, Jeff Jarvis observes:

He’s no longer just ridiculing the powerful; he’s no longer turning them into punchlines; he’s now trying to convince us that these particular powerful people — Bush et al — are evil, venal, corrupt, incompetent co-conspirators out to ruin our world. If you’re going to try to convince us of that, then you have a different obligation of fact and argument than if you’re just trying to make fun of somebody. You should give us legitimate facts and arm us with arguments by showing both sides of an issue and beating down the other side. If you don’t do that, you’re only shrieking. You’re weakening your own argument by ignoring the other side. You’re insulting the intelligence of your audience by not giving them both sides. You’re just seething. That’s what Moore is like now. He wants to convince us he’s telling the truth but he’s afraid to tell the whole truth.

“All the News That’s Fit to Print” is falling into the same category. Unfortunately, unlike Moor’s movie, the NYTimes is, by far, the dominant news source for many people I know. And, they don’t feel insulted by its dishonest behavior, they feel relieved, and will leap to its defense. I don’t know what NYTime lie would be so outrageous so as to cause doubt. I think the solution is to find a news source that would serve the NYTimes’ audience better than it itself does. The NYSun attempts to provide a conservative alternative to the NYTimes but I think that misses the mark. What I am looking for is an honest news source for a liberal readership. Any recomendations?

Update: See also lying by the Kerry campaign.

Is death an option?

Filed under: Navel Gazing — admin @ 1:56 pm

Transhumanists argue that technology can make accidental death obsolete. They further argue that:

If some people would still choose death, that’s a choice that is of course to be regretted, but nevertheless this choice must be respected. The transhumanist position on the ethics of death is crystal clear: death should be voluntary. This means that everybody should be free to extend their lives and to arrange for cryonic suspension of their deanimated bodies. It also means that voluntary euthanasia, under conditions of informed consent, is a basic human right.

This position is hugely problematic.

  • As persuasive technologies improve
    and as we learn more about our cognitive biases, we are discovering how weak the concept of “informed consent” really is.

  • Worse, they are now requiring the creation of a system to adjudicate whether informed consent was really given or not on a per-individual basis. Right now, the procedural costs of executing someone who has received the Death Penalty exceed the costs of a life in prison. Who would pay those costs for someone to execute themselves?
  • Worse still, any system adjudicating informed consent is guaranteed to make mistakes. It will have to balance the risk of some people being “unfairly” kept alive with the risk of murder. To me, the presumption should be against murder. Such a presumption would imply simply banning suicide.
  • More subtly, if the decision to extend life or not is also the outcome of informed consent, do we now have to subject the use of any life-extension technology to the “informed consent” bureacracy? How do we know that someone isn’t being unfairly pressured into being kept-alive?

The Transhumanists need to acknowledge that the creation of these technologies effectively will impose longer lives on people whether they like it or not?

June 25, 2004

Are anti-Bush folks making accusations of lying because they concede the war has been a success?

Filed under: War Politics — admin @ 10:43 am

Just a random thought this morning. I mean at this point we know that Saddam was involved with Al Queada and perhaps other terrorist groups. Saddam had WMD and was developing more, Saddam was an evil man that should be eliminated, that Iraqis prefer their new government to Saddam, that Iraq llooks to become a democracy soon, Iraq is even getting a working stock exchange.

Does anyone at this point seriously believe it would have been better to leave Saddam in power?

June 24, 2004

Globalism, Speciation, Extinction

Filed under: Natural Law, Social Contracts, or Windy Weather — admin @ 7:57 pm

Scott Sampson talks about dinasour evolution and notes that:

Ecologically speaking, once two closely related species differing only in reproductive structures (e.g., horns, frills, crests, etc.) come back into contact, it’s unlikely that both will persist for very long, since they will be doing the same thing to make a living.

As humans spread accross the planet, they developed various local cultures to support mate selection and reproduction. Does increased inter-cultural intercourse mean that we should expect to see the extinctions of peoples or cultures? Can a local agrarian culture compete against low cost food produced by agri-business? Can boring European music compete with the mutation of African drumming culture into rock-n-roll? If farming roles or music tastes are part of a mating dance, how does globalization affect mating prospects?

He also makes an argument for protectionist industrial policy:

When all of the continents were united as Pangaea, and even during the initial phases of fragmentation, virtually every terrestrial ecosystem for which we have good data indicates the presence of multiple, perhaps two to four, kinds of large carnivorous dinosaurs, in the range of 750-2000 kg. Given the extensive continental connections, this was a time when terrestrial animals were able to move around much of the planet. It is also why we find remains of dinosaurs on every continent. They didn’t need to fly or swim across major marine barriers—they simply walked from landmass to landmass. With all of this faunal mixing, it is not surprising that we find multiple species of large carnivores in most ecosystems.

Unlike living carnivorous mammals, which often have highly specialized teeth and jaws for particular diets (meat, bone marrow, etc.), large carnivorous dinosaurs apparently lacked such ecological diversity. So, given that they were all doing pretty much the same thing to make a living, it seems reasonable to postulate that inter-species competition would have limited the maximal body size for any one species. It’s highly unlikely that a given lineage could have evolved to be a giant of five or six tonnes when several other species were in direct competition in the same ecosystem. As the continents split apart, dinosaurs and all other parts of the terrestrial biota went along for the ride on these giant rafts of continental crust, setting sail on independent different evolutionary courses. We postulate that it was only after all the continents broke apart that opportunities arose for a single species to dominate an ecosystem and grow to T. rex proportions.

About 75 million years ago, when North America was divided into two landmasses by a seaway, several smaller-bodied tyrannosaurs such as Daspletosaurus and Gorgosaurus lived alongside one another. These animals were large, about 1,000 to 2,000 kg, and no doubt menacing, yet a fraction the size of their subsequent relative, Tyrannosaurus rex, which lived about 67-65 million years ago. In contrast to its predecessors, T. rex lacked the direct competition with other large carnivores. For whatever reason, all other tyrannosaur lineages died out. Almost simultaneously, the seaway receded for good, reconnecting east and west America for the first time in 25 million years and effectively doubling the geographic area for North American dinosaurs. The additional area allowed Tyrannosaurus to increase in body size while maintaining population densities high enough to avoid extinction, at least for awhile.

I don’t buy it. Why wouldn’t the same be true of members of a single species in the same business?

June 22, 2004

Rules for Polemicists

Filed under: Social Markets — admin @ 3:09 pm

Great article on polemics. Heres the rules:

  1. “Forget about trying to convert your adversary. In any serious ideological confrontation the chances of success on this score are so remote as to exclude it as a rational objective.”

    This one is incredibly disapointing as it seems like I should be able to find agreement with my close friends and with people with whom I share a common culture. I would reframe this as try to reframe the dispute so you are not adversaries. No, I don’t know how to do this one easily.

    On the very rare occasions when it does happen, it will be because the person converted has already and independently come to harbor serious doubts and is teetering on the edge of ideological defection. This is due, more
    often than not, to some outrageous action by his own side or some shocking revelation: witness the effects on members of Communist parties in the West of the Nazi-Soviet pact of 1939 and the Khrushchev speech
    of 1956.

    Perhaps revelations of the NYTimes misrepresentations are good enough (see prior post), but I doubt it.

  2. “Pay great attention to the agenda of the debate. He who defines the issues, and determines their
    priority, is already well on the way to winning.” Totally! Rather than let the debate drift to lots of different accusations without conclusion, I pick one of the accusations an pummel it to death. Really, I should try to reframe to get on top of the general claim being made and try to work from there. Allowing the debate to drift into the question of lying rather than the question of justification is a failure.

  3. “Preaching to the converted, far from being a superfluous activity, is vital. Preachers do it every
    Sunday. The strengthening of the commitment, intellectual performance, and morale of those already on
    your side is an essential task, both in order to bind them more securely to the cause and to make them
    more effective exponents of it.”

  4. “Never forget the uncommitted: almost invariably, they constitute the vast majority. This may seem obvious, but intense polemical activity is often a coterie activity, and in the excitement of combat and lust for the polemical kill the uncommitted are often overlooked[...] whenever you think of something that strikes you as particularly brilliant, at
    least consider seriously the advisability of suppressing it in favor of something which projects moral and intellectual seriousness in a straightforward way.”

  5. “Be aware that, at least potentially, you are addressing mutiple audiences. Decide whether, on a particular occasion, you want to make a broad appeal to many audiences, which will usually involve compromise and restraint in presentation, or whether you want to make a sharply focused pitch to a particular audience, even at the risk of alienating others.” Does this blog have too many audiences? Josh was feeling insulted earlier about posts to which he was extraneous. See Clay’s comments on Fork World.
  6. “Be prepared to go around the block many times. When you have a good point to make, keep repeating it. Success in ideological polemics is very much a matter of staying power and will, and the same battles have to be fought over and over again. ” True and Ugh.
  7. “Shave with Occam’s razor. Knowing what you can afford to give away is one of the great arts of polemic.[...]The willingness to concede or ignore what is inessential will make it harder for others to characterize you as dogmatic, and is likely to make a favorable impression on the uncommitted.” Amen.
  8. “Be very careful in your use of examples and historical analogies. More often than not, their illustrative value is outweighed by their distracting effect.” Godwin’s Law anyone?
  9. “When bolstering the authority of what you are saying by the use of quotation, give preference wherever possible to sources which are not identified with your case.” Notice my use of NYTimes quotations in the last post.
  10. “Avoid trading in motives as an alternative to rebutting the opposing case.” Also, note when other’s violate this rule. “Motives can explain error, distortion, and falsehood, but they cannot establish the existence of these things.” The left attack on Bush and “its all about oil” violates this rule.
  11. “In any polemical exchange, make sure that you know several times more about a topic than you can conceivably use or show.” Done. The upshot is that opponents frequently claim ignorance as a defense (as dinner companion did last night). Ignorance is not a defense. It is a failure.
  12. “Take particular care to understand the position of your adversary – and to understand it not in a caricature or
    superficial form but at its strongest, for until you have rebutted it at its strongest you have not rebutted it at all.” This one is violated by the left all the time. Rather than engaging the actualy arguments of the Bush administration, they instead make up straw men e.g. imminent threat, nuclear WMD, Saddam-9/11 etc.

Christopher Hitchens is a GREAT writer

Filed under: Humor — admin @ 2:38 pm

Reviewing Michael Moore’s recent work of propganda:

To describe this film as dishonest and demagogic would almost be to promote those terms to the level of respectability. To describe this film as a piece of crap would be to run the risk of a discourse that would never again rise above the excremental. To describe it as an exercise in facile crowd-pleasing would be too obvious. Fahrenheit 9/11 is a sinister exercise in moral frivolity, crudely disguised as an exercise in seriousness. It is also a spectacle of abject political cowardice masking itself as a demonstration of “dissenting” bravery.

If you want to see Michael Moore devastated, read the whole thing. I just loved this paragraph.

Older Posts »

Powered by WordPress